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Omonia Nicosia vs Ethnikos Achna

Omonia Nicosia vs Ethnikos Achna 4-0 Score & Prediction Review

1. Division - Season 2025/2026 (Round 15)

Fair result

Omonia Nicosia

4–0

Ethnikos Achna

3.1Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Omonia Nicosia would usually take 2.5 points and Ethnikos Achna 0.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Omonia Nicosia.

Omonia Nicosia +0.5 pts vs chancesEthnikos Achna −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Omonia Nicosia vs Ethnikos Achna stats: how the match was played

1. Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Omonia Nicosia had more than twice the shots on target

Omonia Nicosia

Ethnikos Achna

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Omonia Nicosia and Ethnikos Achna ended 4-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Omonia Nicosia win with 64% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: AEK Larnaca – Omonia Nicosia prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

Omonia Nicosia vs Ethnikos Achna — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 1. Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Omonia Nicosia to win

Correct

Our model 64%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 1,057 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 546 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,092 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,387 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Omonia Nicosia ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 45%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 6,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Omonia Nicosia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Omonia Nicosia 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Ethnikos Achna Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ethnikos Achna 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 79%Bookmakers 84%

Our track record

In 2,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.8% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Omonia Nicosia vs Ethnikos Achna 4-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Omonia Nicosia vs Ethnikos Achna. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

1. Division - Cyprus

Omonia Nicosia4

Ethnikos Achna0

Winner

1 64%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

· FT

1. Division - Cyprus

Omonia Nicosia4

Ethnikos Achna0

Winner

1 64%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

164%

X19%

216%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	18%	82%	40%	60%	53%	47%	76%	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	18%	82%	40%	60%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	53%	47%	76%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	13%	87%	39%	61%	64%	36%	83%	17%
	48%	52%	79%	21%	94%	6%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	13%	87%	39%	61%
	48%	52%	79%	21%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	64%	36%	83%	17%
	94%	6%	99%	1%

1st Half

144%

X36%

219%

1st Score

165%

X4%

231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

41%

X-1

17%

X-X

10%

2-2

10%

X-2

2-X

1-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

2-1

10.1%

2-0

9.6%

1-1

9.5%

1-0

9.5%

3-0

7.2%

3-1

7.0%

1-2

4.7%

0-1

4.6%

2-2

4.5%

0-0

4.3%

3-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: AEK Larnaca – Omonia Nicosia prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).