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  4. Anorthosis vs Ethnikos Achna

Anorthosis vs Ethnikos Achna 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

1. Division - Season 2025/2026 (Round 17)

Fair result
AnorthosisAnorthosis

1–0

Ethnikos AchnaEthnikos Achna
1.9Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Anorthosis would usually take 2.3 points and Ethnikos Achna 0.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Anorthosis.

Anorthosis +0.7 pts vs chancesEthnikos Achna −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Anorthosis vs Ethnikos Achna stats: how the match was played

1. Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Anorthosis had more than twice the shots on target

Anorthosis

Ethnikos Achna

4

Shots on target

1

1

Big chances

0

10

Corners

5

3

Yellow cards

4

41%

Possession

59%

The match between Anorthosis and Ethnikos Achna ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Anorthosis win with 49% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Anorthosis – Paphos prediction & betting tips (Oct 11, 2026).

Anorthosis vs Ethnikos Achna — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 1. Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Anorthosis to win

Correct
Our model 49%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,426 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.2% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,379 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 2,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,885 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 1,988 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Anorthosis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Anorthosis 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,751 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Ethnikos Achna Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ethnikos Achna 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,303 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Anorthosis vs Ethnikos Achna 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Anorthosis vs Ethnikos Achna. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
1. Division - Cyprus
AnorthosisAnorthosis1
Ethnikos AchnaEthnikos Achna0

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

149%
X25%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT60%40%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Anorthosis22%78%52%48%
Ethnikos Achna38%62%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Anorthosis78%22%91%9%
Ethnikos Achna90%10%97%3%

1st Half

136%
X39%
225%

1st Score

155%
X6%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

16%

X-X

15%

2-2

14%

X-2

10%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.4%

2-1

10.2%

1-0

10.0%

2-0

7.9%

0-1

7.0%

1-2

6.8%

0-0

6.4%

2-2

5.7%

3-0

4.8%

3-1

4.7%

0-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Anorthosis – Paphos prediction & betting tips (Oct 11, 2026).

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