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  4. Pafos FC vs Omonia Aradippou

Paphos vs Omonia Aradippou 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

1. Division - Season 2025/2026 (Round 17)

Fair result
PaphosPaphos

2–0

Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou
2.0Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Paphos would usually take 1.9 points and Omonia Aradippou 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Paphos.

Paphos +1.1 pts vs chancesOmonia Aradippou −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Paphos vs Omonia Aradippou stats: how the match was played

1. Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Paphos

Omonia Aradippou

6

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

0

3

Corners

1

1

Yellow cards

2

70%

Possession

30%

The match between Paphos and Omonia Aradippou ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Paphos win with 69% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Anorthosis – Omonia Aradippou prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Paphos vs Omonia Aradippou — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 1. Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Paphos to win

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 82%

Our track record

In 614 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.7% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,956 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Paphos ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 1,241 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 53.9% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Paphos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Paphos 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Omonia Aradippou Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Omonia Aradippou 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 85%Bookmakers 89%

Our track record

In 595 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Paphos vs Omonia Aradippou 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Paphos vs Omonia Aradippou. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
1. Division - Cyprus
PaphosPaphos2
Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou0

Winner

1 69%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

169%
X19%
212%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Paphos12%88%39%61%
Omonia Aradippou54%46%85%15%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Paphos66%34%85%15%
Omonia Aradippou97%3%99%1%

1st Half

150%
X36%
214%

1st Score

170%
X5%
225%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

46%

X-1

19%

X-X

11%

2-2

6%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

X-2

4%

2-1

4%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

12.8%

2-0

12.1%

2-1

10.8%

1-1

9.7%

3-0

8.6%

3-1

6.8%

0-0

5.4%

0-1

4.2%

2-2

3.6%

1-2

3.3%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Anorthosis – Omonia Aradippou prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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