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  4. Omonia Nicosia vs Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC

Omonia Nicosia vs Digenis Ypsonas 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

1. Division - Season 2025/2026 (Round 20)

Fair result
Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia

1–0

Digenis YpsonasDigenis Ypsonas
1.7Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances Omonia Nicosia would usually take 2.2 points and Digenis Ypsonas 0.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Omonia Nicosia.

Omonia Nicosia +0.8 pts vs chancesDigenis Ypsonas −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Omonia Nicosia vs Digenis Ypsonas stats: how the match was played

1. Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Omonia Nicosia had more than twice the shots on target

Omonia Nicosia

Digenis Ypsonas

7

Shots on target

2

0

Big chances

0

8

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

3

60%

Possession

40%

The match between Omonia Nicosia and Digenis Ypsonas ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Omonia Nicosia win with 67% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: AEK Larnaca – Omonia Nicosia prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

Omonia Nicosia vs Digenis Ypsonas — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 1. Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Omonia Nicosia to win

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 617 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.5% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,748 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,864 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,683 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Omonia Nicosia ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 48%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 4,295 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Omonia Nicosia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Omonia Nicosia 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Digenis Ypsonas Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Digenis Ypsonas 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 88%Bookmakers 88%

Our track record

In 601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.4% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Omonia Nicosia vs Digenis Ypsonas 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Omonia Nicosia vs Digenis Ypsonas. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
1. Division - Cyprus
Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia1
Digenis YpsonasDigenis Ypsonas0

Winner

1 67%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

167%
X21%
212%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Omonia Nicosia15%85%45%55%
Digenis Ypsonas56%44%88%12%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Omonia Nicosia72%28%88%12%
Digenis Ypsonas98%2%100%0%

1st Half

148%
X38%
214%

1st Score

167%
X8%
226%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

43%

X-1

20%

X-X

13%

2-2

6%

X-2

5%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

15.3%

2-0

13.8%

2-1

10.6%

1-1

10.4%

3-0

8.1%

0-0

7.6%

3-1

5.4%

0-1

5.2%

1-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: AEK Larnaca – Omonia Nicosia prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

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