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Apollon vs APOEL 2-2 Score & Prediction Review
1. Division - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)
APOEL drew despite more chances
Apollon2–2
APOELOn these chances Apollon would usually take 0.7 points and APOEL 2.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Apollon.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Apollon vs APOEL stats: how the match was played
1. Division
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Apollon
APOEL
4
Shots on target
4
0
Big chances
0
2
Corners
1
2
Yellow cards
3
50%
Possession
50%
Apollon vs APOEL — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 1. Division
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Apollon to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,687 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,948 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,656 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Apollon 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
APOEL 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,274 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Apollon vs APOEL 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Apollon vs APOEL. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Apollon2
APOEL2Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Apollon2APOEL2Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 51% | 49% |
| 36% | 64% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
X-1
17%
X-X
16%
2-2
13%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.4%
2-1
10.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score