- Home
- Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca
Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
1. Division - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)
Omonia 29is Maiou1–2
AEK LarnacaOn these chances Omonia 29is Maiou would usually take 0.7 points and AEK Larnaca 2.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: AEK Larnaca.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca stats: how the match was played
1. Division
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
AEK Larnaca had more than twice the shots on target
Omonia 29is Maiou
AEK Larnaca
5
Shots on target
12
1
Big chances
0
3
Corners
6
5
Yellow cards
1
35%
Possession
65%
Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 1. Division
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
AEK Larnaca to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,098 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,690 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,952 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: AEK Larnaca ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,224 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Omonia 29is Maiou 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,454 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
AEK Larnaca 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: AEK Larnaca 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 634 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Omonia 29is Maiou1
AEK Larnaca2Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Omonia 29is Maiou1AEK Larnaca2Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | 69% | 64% | 36% |
| 27% | 73% | 59% | 41% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
21%
1-1
19%
X-X
19%
X-2
13%
X-1
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.9%
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
7.5%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score