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  4. Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis

Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

1. Division - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result
Nea SalamisNea Salamis

3–0

AnorthosisAnorthosis
1.1Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Nea Salamis would usually take 1.2 points and Anorthosis 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Anorthosis.

Nea Salamis +1.8 pts vs chancesAnorthosis −1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis stats: how the match was played

1. Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Nea Salamis

Anorthosis

5

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

0

5

Corners

3

3

Yellow cards

2

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Nea Salamis and Anorthosis ended 3-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Nea Salamis win with 49% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Aris Limassol – Anorthosis prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 1. Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nea Salamis to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Anorthosis to win.

Our model 49%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 374 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 5,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 2,848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,964 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Nea Salamis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nea Salamis 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Anorthosis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Anorthosis 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
1. Division - Cyprus
Nea SalamisNea Salamis3
AnorthosisAnorthosis0

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

149%
X26%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Nea Salamis22%78%51%49%
Anorthosis39%61%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Nea Salamis77%23%91%9%
Anorthosis90%10%97%3%

1st Half

138%
X42%
220%

1st Score

158%
X7%
235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

30%

X-1

17%

X-X

17%

2-2

13%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

1-0

9.8%

2-1

9.6%

2-0

8.2%

0-0

7.3%

0-1

6.4%

1-2

6.1%

2-2

6.0%

3-1

5.3%

3-0

4.2%

0-2

3.6%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Aris Limassol – Anorthosis prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

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