Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis 3-0 Score & Prediction Review
1. Division - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)
3–0
On these chances Nea Salamis would usually take 1.2 points and Anorthosis 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Anorthosis.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis stats: how the match was played
1. Division
Level on shots on target
Nea Salamis
Anorthosis
5
Shots on target
5
1
Big chances
0
5
Corners
3
3
Yellow cards
2
43%
Possession
57%
Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 1. Division
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Nea Salamis to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Anorthosis to win.
Our track record
In 363 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,766 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,819 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Nea Salamis 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Anorthosis 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,260 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 51% | 49% | |
| 39% | 61% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% | |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
X-1
17%
X-X
17%
2-2
13%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis — Recent Form
Nea Salamis have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Anorthosis have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score