Brick wall
5/10Paphos kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 29%).
Pafos FC vs APOEL Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
1. Division - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Unlucky
Paphos are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−5points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 9 with xG
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Paphos vs APOEL score prediction
1. Division
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Paphos expected to create clearly more
2.8 goals in total, a little over the 1. Division average of 2.7.
goals expected
Paphos1.8
APOEL1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Paphos vs APOEL will be played on Monday, October 19 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 6 of the 1. Division, played in Cyprus. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Paphos vs APOEL, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Paphos vs APOEL — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Paphos vs APOEL. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Paphos–
APOEL–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Paphos–APOEL–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
156%
X23%
221%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 46% | 54% |
| 41% | 59% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
139%
X42%
219%
1st Score
162%
X6%
232%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
34%
X-1
19%
X-X
15%
2-2
11%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
10.9%
1-1
10.5%
1-0
10.0%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
3-2
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Paphos vs APOEL: the stats that stand out
1. Division
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Paphos: brick wall and flop as favourites · APOEL: always chasing
5/10Always chasing
7/10APOEL conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Flop as favourites
3/8Paphos won only 3 of 8 as favourites (league 58%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Paphos vs APOEL: attack vs defence
1. Division
How to read it
other 1. Division teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Paphos: good attack, good defence (1.60 xG, 1.10 xGA a game)
- APOEL: weak attack, weak defence (1.08 xG, 1.34 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Paphos vs APOEL form and luck check
1. Division
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 1. Division gamesPaphos are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Paphos9 of 10 gamesWasteful · −5 goals−4.9
- APOEL−3.6
Last 5 matches
PaphosL
W
D
W
APOELD
L
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Paphos 2nd of 14 · APOEL 6th of 14
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Paphos vs APOEL: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
1. Division
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 1. Division gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Paphos and APOEL games less often than the 1. Division average (48%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 51%
Paphos4 of 10
APOEL6 of 10
BTTSleague 48%
Paphos3 of 10
APOEL4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 226 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Paphos vs APOEL corners, cards and goal times
1. Division
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the 1. Division average
Paphos
APOEL
5.3
Corners won · league 4.5
4.7
3.6
Corners conceded · league 4.5
4.4
2.7
Cards · league 2.4
3.3
1.9
Opponents' cards · league 2.4
2.1
50%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
36%
21%
Goals after 75' · league 27%
29%
45%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
61%
27%
Conceded after 75' · league 27%
22%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
APOEL3/4
Paphos0/4
Both Teams to Score
APOEL3/4
Paphos0/4
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
APOEL4/4
Paphos2/4
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
APOEL1/4
Paphos4/4
First Half Result
APOEL0/4
Paphos2/4
Correct Score
APOEL0/4
Paphos0/4
correct predictionwrong prediction