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Paphos vs APOEL 0-0 Score & Prediction Review
1. Division - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Paphos0–0
APOELOn these chances Paphos would usually take 1.9 points and APOEL 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Paphos.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Paphos vs APOEL stats: how the match was played
1. Division
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Paphos had clearly more shots on target
Paphos
APOEL
5
Shots on target
3
0
Big chances
1
9
Corners
4
3
Yellow cards
1
52%
Possession
48%
Paphos vs APOEL — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 1. Division
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Paphos to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,964 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Paphos 2+ goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Paphos 0–1 goals.
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
APOEL 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Paphos vs APOEL 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Paphos vs APOEL. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Paphos0
APOEL0Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Paphos0APOEL0Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 45% | 55% |
| 42% | 58% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72% | 28% | 89% | 11% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
35%
X-1
19%
X-X
14%
2-2
11%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
10.8%
1-1
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
3-2
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Paphos vs APOEL — Recent Form
Paphos have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. APOEL have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.
Last 5 matches
PaphosAPOELOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
APOELPaphosBoth Teams to Score
APOELPaphosOver/Under 2.5 Goals
APOELPaphosOver/Under 3.5 Goals
APOELPaphosFirst Half Result
APOELPaphosCorrect Score
APOELPaphos