Mexico vs United States 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
Friendly International - Season 2024 Friendlies 1 (Knock Out)
Mexico vs United States — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Friendly International
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
United States to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Mexico to win.
Our track record
In 959 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 29.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.0% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 6,108 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.1% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,489 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,302 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 45.0% of the time (bookmakers said 44.3%).
Our model’s pick
Mexico 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,488 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.4% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).
Our model’s pick
United States 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,493 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 64.1%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Mexico vs United States 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mexico vs United States. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Mexico2
United States0Winner
X2 70%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Mexico2United States0Winner
X2 70%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 38% | 62% | 72% | 28% |
 | 29% | 71% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
34%
X-2
18%
X-X
15%
1-1
13%
X-1
8%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score