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Thailand vs Afghanistan

Thailand vs Afghanistan 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Friendly International - Season 2025 Friendlies (Knock Out)

Fair result

Thailand

2–0

Afghanistan

1.2Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Thailand would usually take 1.8 points and Afghanistan 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Thailand.

Thailand +1.2 pts vs chancesAfghanistan −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Thailand vs Afghanistan stats: how the match was played

Friendly International

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Thailand had more than twice the shots on target

Thailand

Afghanistan

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

61%

Possession

40%

The match between Thailand and Afghanistan ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Thailand win with 70% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Thailand vs Afghanistan — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Friendly International

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Thailand to win

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.3% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 3,124 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,102 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,391 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Thailand ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 299 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.5% of the time (bookmakers said 57.9%).

Thailand Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Thailand 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 2,694 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Afghanistan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Afghanistan 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 82%Bookmakers 90%

Our track record

In 1,500 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.9% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Thailand vs Afghanistan 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Thailand vs Afghanistan. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Friendly International - World

Thailand2

Afghanistan0

Winner

1 70%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

2-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

· FT

Friendly International - World

Thailand2

Afghanistan0

Winner

1 70%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

2-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

170%

X17%

214%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	17%	83%	37%	63%	51%	49%	73%	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	83%	37%	63%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	51%	49%	73%	27%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	12%	88%	34%	66%	60%	40%	80%	20%
	54%	46%	82%	18%	94%	6%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	12%	88%	34%	66%
	54%	46%	82%	18%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	60%	40%	80%	20%
	94%	6%	98%	2%

1st Half

157%

X33%

210%

1st Score

180%

X4%

216%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

54%

X-1

20%

X-X

2-1

2-2

1-X

X-2

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

2-0

10.7%

1-0

10.0%

2-1

9.9%

3-0

8.8%

1-1

7.6%

3-1

6.9%

0-0

4.2%

2-2

4.0%

1-2

3.8%

3-2

3.4%

0-1

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score