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Northern Ireland vs Switzerland 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Friendly International - Season 2025 Friendlies (Knock Out)

Fair result
Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland

1–1

SwitzerlandSwitzerland
0.9Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances Northern Ireland would usually take 1.7 points and Switzerland 1.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Switzerland.

Northern Ireland −0.7 pts vs chancesSwitzerland +0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Northern Ireland vs Switzerland stats: how the match was played

Friendly International

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Northern Ireland had clearly more shots on target

Northern Ireland

Switzerland

3

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

0

3

Corners

7

2

Yellow cards

3

19%

Possession

81%

The match between Northern Ireland and Switzerland ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Northern Ireland win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Northern Ireland vs Switzerland — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Friendly International

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Northern Ireland to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Switzerland to win.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 24%

Our track record

In 1,050 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 29.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,435 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,654 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 6,668 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Northern Ireland Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Northern Ireland 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,437 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Switzerland Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Switzerland 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,345 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Northern Ireland vs Switzerland 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Northern Ireland vs Switzerland. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Friendly International - World
Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland1
SwitzerlandSwitzerland1

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

144%
X27%
229%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT30%70%56%44%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Northern Ireland28%72%62%38%
Switzerland39%61%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Northern Ireland85%15%95%5%
Switzerland90%10%97%3%

1st Half

137%
X44%
218%

1st Score

159%
X9%
232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

31%

X-1

18%

X-X

18%

2-2

11%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-1

12.7%

1-0

12.5%

0-0

9.0%

0-1

8.5%

2-1

8.5%

2-0

8.4%

1-2

6.2%

0-2

5.0%

2-2

4.5%

3-1

3.8%

3-0

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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