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Egypt vs Nigeria 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Friendly International - Season 2025 Friendlies (Knock Out)
Egypt vs Nigeria stats: how the match was played
Friendly International
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Egypt had more than twice the shots on target
Egypt
Nigeria
3
Shots on target
1
3
Corners
4
0
Yellow cards
2
Egypt vs Nigeria — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Friendly International
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Egypt to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw.
Our track record
In 1,054 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 5,683 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,076 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,231 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Egypt 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,449 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Nigeria 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,574 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Egypt vs Nigeria 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Egypt vs Nigeria. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Egypt2
Nigeria1Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Egypt2Nigeria1Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 35% | 65% | 62% | 38% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 72% | 28% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29% | 71% | 64% | 36% |
 | 42% | 58% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
X-X
18%
X-1
17%
2-2
14%
X-2
10%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score