Hard to break
2/10Rijeka conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Slaven Koprivnica vs Rijeka Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
1. HNL - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Wasteful
Slaven Koprivnica are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−4goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Slaven Koprivnica 17% to winRijeka 60%
Slaven Koprivnica vs Rijeka score prediction
1. HNL
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Rijeka expected to create clearly more
2.6 goals in total, a little under the 1. HNL average of 2.8.
goals expected
Slaven Koprivnica1.0Rijeka1.6Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Slaven Koprivnica vs Rijeka: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Slaven Koprivnica vs Rijeka — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 1. HNL
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Rijeka to win
Our model 53%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 2,427 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 6,315 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 5,016 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 3,821 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 41%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 2,134 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Slaven Koprivnica Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Slaven Koprivnica 0–1 goals
Our model 73%Bookmakers 77%
Our track record
In 1,544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.2% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Rijeka Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Rijeka 2+ goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 958 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Slaven Koprivnica vs Rijeka — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Slaven Koprivnica vs Rijeka. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Slaven Koprivnica–
Rijeka–Winner
2 52%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Slaven Koprivnica–Rijeka–Winner
2 52%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
123%
X24%
252%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41% | 59% | 73% | 27% |
| 20% | 80% | 48% | 52% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
| 75% | 25% | 89% | 11% |
1st Half
121%
X41%
237%
1st Score
136%
X7%
257%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
34%
X-2
16%
X-X
15%
1-1
12%
X-1
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.6%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
5.3%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Slaven Koprivnica vs Rijeka: the stats that stand out
1. HNL
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Rijeka: hard to break and brick wall · Slaven Koprivnica: shot-shy
2/10Shot-shy
5/10Slaven Koprivnica failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 28%).
Brick wall
5/10Rijeka kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 28%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Slaven Koprivnica vs Rijeka: attack vs defence
1. HNL
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other 1. HNL teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Slaven Koprivnica: weak attack, weak defence (1.22 xG, 1.66 xGA a game)
- Rijeka: good attack, good defence (1.73 xG, 0.94 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Slaven Koprivnica vs Rijeka form and luck check
1. HNL
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 1. HNL gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Slaven KoprivnicaBookmakers: 17% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−2.8
- RijekaBookmakers: 60% to win today.+0.1
Last 5 matches
RijekaW
D
W
D
W
Slaven KoprivnicaD
L
W
L
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Slaven Koprivnica 7th of 10 · Rijeka 3rd of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 10 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Slaven Koprivnica vs Rijeka: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
1. HNL
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 1. HNL gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Slaven Koprivnica and Rijeka games less often than the 1. HNL average (52%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 51%
Slaven Koprivnica6 of 10
Rijeka5 of 10
BTTSleague 52%
Slaven Koprivnica4 of 10
Rijeka4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 174 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Slaven Koprivnica vs Rijeka corners, cards and goal times
1. HNL
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the 1. HNL average
Slaven Koprivnica
Rijeka
3.9
Corners won · league 4.7
6.9
6.0
Corners conceded · league 4.7
2.9
1.7
Cards · league 2.1
1.5
1.8
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
1.9
38%
Goals before half-time · league 48%
50%
13%
Goals after 75' · league 20%
11%
41%
Conceded before half-time · league 48%
43%
23%
Conceded after 75' · league 20%
14%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Slaven Koprivnica4/5
Rijeka3/5
Both Teams to Score
Slaven Koprivnica4/5
Rijeka3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Slaven Koprivnica2/5
Rijeka5/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Slaven Koprivnica4/5
Rijeka3/5
First Half Result
Slaven Koprivnica3/5
Rijeka4/5
Correct Score
Slaven Koprivnica0/5
Rijeka1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction