Hard to break
1/10Varaždin conceded first in only 1 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Hajduk Split vs Varaždin Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
1. HNL - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Hard to break
Varaždin conceded first in only 1 of their last 10 (league 46%).
1/10Conceded first · Varaždin
Hajduk Split vs Varaždin score prediction
1. HNL
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Hajduk Split expected to create clearly more
2.8 goals in total, in line with the 1. HNL average of 2.8.
goals expected
Hajduk Split1.8Varaždin1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Hajduk Split vs Varaždin will be played on Sunday, October 18 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 10 of the 1. HNL, played in Croatia. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Hajduk Split vs Varaždin, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Hajduk Split vs Varaždin — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Hajduk Split vs Varaždin. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Hajduk Split–
Varaždin–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Hajduk Split–Varaždin–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
157%
X23%
220%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 45% | 55% |
| 43% | 57% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72% | 28% | 88% | 12% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
141%
X41%
218%
1st Score
161%
X6%
233%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
36%
X-1
18%
X-X
14%
2-2
10%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
10.7%
2-1
10.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Hajduk Split vs Varaždin: the stats that stand out
1. HNL
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Varaždin: hard to break and brick wall · Hajduk Split: always on the scoresheet
1/10Brick wall
6/10Varaždin kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 28%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Hajduk Split failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 28%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Hajduk Split vs Varaždin: attack vs defence
1. HNL
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other 1. HNL teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Hajduk Split: good attack, good defence (1.92 xG, 0.97 xGA a game)
- Varaždin: good attack, good defence (1.67 xG, 1.13 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Hajduk Split vs Varaždin form and luck check
1. HNL
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 1. HNL gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Hajduk Split−1.4
- Varaždin+3.2
Last 5 matches
Hajduk SplitL
W
W
W
W
VaraždinD
D
D
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Hajduk Split 2nd of 10 · Varaždin 4th of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 10 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Hajduk Split vs Varaždin: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
1. HNL
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 1. HNL gamesBTTS = both teams scoredHajduk Split games go over 2.5 goals more often than the 1. HNL average (51%), Varaždin games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 51%
Hajduk Split7 of 10
Varaždin4 of 10
BTTSleague 52%
Hajduk Split5 of 10
Varaždin4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 174 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Hajduk Split vs Varaždin corners, cards and goal times
1. HNL
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the 1. HNL average
Hajduk Split
Varaždin
4.9
Corners won · league 4.7
4.2
2.9
Corners conceded · league 4.7
4.4
1.9
Cards · league 2.1
1.6
1.8
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
2.1
48%
Goals before half-time · league 48%
53%
22%
Goals after 75' · league 20%
24%
50%
Conceded before half-time · league 48%
0%
25%
Conceded after 75' · league 20%
29%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Hajduk Split5/5
Varaždin2/5
Both Teams to Score
Hajduk Split1/5
Varaždin1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Hajduk Split3/5
Varaždin4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Hajduk Split3/5
Varaždin3/5
First Half Result
Hajduk Split3/5
Varaždin4/5
Correct Score
Hajduk Split0/5
Varaždin0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction