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ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Indian Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
More goals than usual expected in ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC score prediction
Indian Super League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert2.9 goals expected
2.9 goals in total: more goals than a typical Indian Super League game (average 2.5).
goals expected
ATK Mohun Bagan2.2
Odisha FC0.7Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
ATK Mohun Bagan–
Odisha FC–Winner
1 80%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 58%
ATK Mohun Bagan–Odisha FC–Winner
1 80%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 14% | 86% | 31% | 69% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 42% | 58% | 64% | 36% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6% | 94% | 23% | 77% |
| 63% | 37% | 87% | 13% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48% | 52% | 70% | 30% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
55%
X-1
21%
X-X
8%
2-2
4%
1-X
3%
X-2
3%
2-1
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
11.5%
3-0
10.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
5.7%
3-2
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC: attack vs defence
Indian Super League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Indian Super League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- ATK Mohun Bagan: good attack, good defence (1.75 xG, 1.19 xGA a game)
- Odisha FC: weak attack, weak defence (0.74 xG, 1.62 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC form and luck check
Indian Super League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Indian Super League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- ATK Mohun BaganWasteful · −8 goals−0.4
- Odisha FC+1.8
Last 5 matches
ATK Mohun BaganOdisha FCStrength rank: ATK Mohun Bagan 2nd of 12 · Odisha FC 11th of 12
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Indian Super League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Indian Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in ATK Mohun Bagan and Odisha FC games more often than the Indian Super League average (54%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 108 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC corners, cards and goal times
Indian Super League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.1
- Cards: league 2.0
- Goals before half-time: league 45%
- Goals after 75': league 26%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Odisha FCATK Mohun BaganBoth Teams to Score
Odisha FCATK Mohun BaganOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Odisha FCATK Mohun BaganOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Odisha FCATK Mohun BaganFirst Half Result
Odisha FCATK Mohun BaganCorrect Score
Odisha FCATK Mohun Bagan