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East Bengal vs Kerala Blasters

East Bengal vs Kerala Blasters 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Indian Super League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 5)

Robbed

East Bengal drew despite more chances

East Bengal

1–1

Kerala Blasters

1.6Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances East Bengal would usually take 2.1 points and Kerala Blasters 0.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: East Bengal.

East Bengal −1.1 pts vs chancesKerala Blasters +0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

East Bengal vs Kerala Blasters stats: how the match was played

Indian Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Kerala Blasters had more than twice the shots on target

East Bengal

Kerala Blasters

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

57%

Possession

43%

The match between East Bengal and Kerala Blasters ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a East Bengal win at 49% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kerala Blasters – Mumbai City prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

East Bengal vs Kerala Blasters — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Indian Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

East Bengal to win

Wrong

Our model 49%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,487 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 546 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 55%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,159 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,955 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: East Bengal ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,222 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

East Bengal Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

East Bengal 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: East Bengal 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,861 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Kerala Blasters Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kerala Blasters 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 3,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

East Bengal vs Kerala Blasters 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for East Bengal vs Kerala Blasters. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Indian Super League - India

East Bengal1

Kerala Blasters1

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

· FT

Indian Super League - India

East Bengal1

Kerala Blasters1

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

149%

X25%

226%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	22%	78%	45%	55%	58%	42%	82%	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	22%	78%	45%	55%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	58%	42%	82%	18%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	21%	79%	51%	49%	77%	23%	91%	9%
	36%	64%	70%	30%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	51%	49%
	36%	64%	70%	30%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	77%	23%	91%	9%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

1st Half

137%

X41%

222%

1st Score

157%

X6%

237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

16%

X-X

15%

2-2

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.5%

2-1

10.0%

1-0

9.8%

2-0

7.7%

1-2

6.6%

0-1

6.5%

0-0

6.0%

2-2

5.8%

3-1

5.5%

3-0

4.3%

0-2

3.7%

3-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kerala Blasters – Mumbai City prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).