1. Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

Ligat ha'Al - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result
Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon

0–3

Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
0.5Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Hapoel Katamon would usually take 0.9 points and Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Hapoel Tel Aviv.

Hapoel Katamon −0.9 pts vs chancesHapoel Tel Aviv +1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv stats: how the match was played

Ligat ha'Al

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Hapoel Tel Aviv had more than twice the shots on target

Hapoel Katamon

Hapoel Tel Aviv

1

Shots on target

4

0

Big chances

2

2

Corners

3

2

Yellow cards

3

50%

Possession

51%

The match between Hapoel Katamon and Hapoel Tel Aviv ended 0-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Hapoel Tel Aviv win with 47% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Maccabi Netanya – Hapoel Katamon prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligat ha'Al

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hapoel Tel Aviv to win

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,526 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 2,863 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 4,594 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Hapoel Tel Aviv ahead at half-time.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,250 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Hapoel Katamon Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hapoel Katamon 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 1,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hapoel Tel Aviv 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Hapoel Tel Aviv 2+ goals.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 643 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon0
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv3

Winner

X2 75%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

125%
X28%
247%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT64%36%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Hapoel Katamon39%61%73%27%
Hapoel Tel Aviv24%76%56%44%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Hapoel Katamon92%8%98%2%
Hapoel Tel Aviv81%19%93%7%

1st Half

120%
X44%
236%

1st Score

139%
X8%
252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

X-X

18%

X-2

18%

1-1

13%

X-1

8%

2-X

6%

1-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

0-1

11.6%

1-2

9.0%

0-2

8.9%

0-0

8.5%

1-0

7.9%

2-1

5.9%

2-2

5.7%

1-3

4.6%

2-0

4.2%

0-3

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv — Recent Form

Hapoel Tel Aviv have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Hapoel Katamon have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
W
W
W
W
L
Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon
L
L
L
W
D

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon
3/5
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
5/5

Both Teams to Score

Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon
3/5
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon
3/5
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon
2/5
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
3/5

First Half Result

Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon
1/5
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
0/5

Correct Score

Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon
0/5
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Maccabi Netanya – Hapoel Katamon prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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