Home
Leagues
Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Ligat ha'Al - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

Hapoel Tel Aviv

1–0

Ironi Tiberias

2.8Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Hapoel Tel Aviv would usually take 2.3 points and Ironi Tiberias 0.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Hapoel Tel Aviv.

Hapoel Tel Aviv +0.7 pts vs chancesIroni Tiberias −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias stats: how the match was played

Ligat ha'Al

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Hapoel Tel Aviv had more than twice the shots on target

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Ironi Tiberias

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

48%

Possession

53%

The match between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Ironi Tiberias ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Hapoel Tel Aviv win with 68% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bnei Sakhnin – Ironi Tiberias prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligat ha'Al

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hapoel Tel Aviv to win

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.5% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,524 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,361 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,992 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hapoel Tel Aviv ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 46%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 4,294 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hapoel Tel Aviv 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,488 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Ironi Tiberias Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ironi Tiberias 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 85%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.1% of the time (bookmakers said 80.5%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Ligat ha'Al - Israel

Hapoel Tel Aviv1

Ironi Tiberias0

Winner

1 68%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT

Ligat ha'Al - Israel

Hapoel Tel Aviv1

Ironi Tiberias0

Winner

1 68%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

168%

X20%

211%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%	57%	43%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	57%	43%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	12%	88%	38%	62%	65%	35%	84%	16%
	55%	45%	85%	15%	96%	4%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	12%	88%	38%	62%
	55%	45%	85%	15%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	65%	35%	84%	16%
	96%	4%	99%	1%

1st Half

146%

X41%

213%

1st Score

171%

X6%

223%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

44%

X-1

21%

X-X

12%

2-2

1-X

X-2

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

12.0%

2-0

11.6%

2-1

10.4%

1-1

9.4%

3-0

9.0%

3-1

6.7%

0-0

6.0%

2-2

4.0%

0-1

3.8%

1-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias — Recent Form

Hapoel Tel Aviv have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Ironi Tiberias have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Ironi Tiberias

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Hapoel Tel Aviv

5/5

Ironi Tiberias

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Hapoel Tel Aviv

4/5

Ironi Tiberias

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Hapoel Tel Aviv

2/5

Ironi Tiberias

1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Hapoel Tel Aviv

3/5

Ironi Tiberias

3/5

First Half Result

Hapoel Tel Aviv

0/5

Ironi Tiberias

0/5

Correct Score

Hapoel Tel Aviv

1/5

Ironi Tiberias

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bnei Sakhnin – Ironi Tiberias prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).