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Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Ligat ha'Al - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
1–0
On these chances Maccabi Netanya would usually take 1.6 points and Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Maccabi Netanya.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona stats: how the match was played
Ligat ha'Al
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Maccabi Netanya
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
3
Shots on target
3
1
Big chances
1
3
Corners
6
2
Yellow cards
2
52%
Possession
48%
Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligat ha'Al
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Maccabi Netanya to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,634 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,744 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,206 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Maccabi Netanya ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,248 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Maccabi Netanya 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Maccabi Netanya 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,030 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,316 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 57% | 43% | |
| 32% | 68% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% | |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
17%
X-X
16%
X-1
15%
X-2
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona — Recent Form
Maccabi Netanya have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Ironi Kiryat Shmona have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score