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Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Ligat ha'Al - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva2–1
Hapoel KatamonOn these chances Hapoel Be'er Sheva would usually take 2.5 points and Hapoel Katamon 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Hapoel Be'er Sheva.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon stats: how the match was played
Ligat ha'Al
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Hapoel Katamon
4
Shots on target
3
6
Big chances
2
6
Corners
1
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
1
79%
Possession
21%
Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligat ha'Al
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Hapoel Be'er Sheva to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,489 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,744 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,206 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,992 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Hapoel Be'er Sheva ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,248 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,872 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Hapoel Katamon 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,316 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva2
Hapoel Katamon1Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Hapoel Be'er Sheva2Hapoel Katamon1Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 50% | 50% |
| 37% | 63% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 91% | 9% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
32%
X-1
17%
X-X
14%
2-2
13%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon — Recent Form
Hapoel Be'er Sheva have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Hapoel Katamon have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Hapoel Be'er ShevaHapoel KatamonOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Hapoel Be'er ShevaHapoel KatamonBoth Teams to Score
Hapoel Be'er ShevaHapoel KatamonOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Hapoel Be'er ShevaHapoel KatamonOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Hapoel Be'er ShevaHapoel KatamonFirst Half Result
Hapoel Be'er ShevaHapoel KatamonCorrect Score
Hapoel Be'er ShevaHapoel Katamon