Always chasing
8/10Avispa Fukuoka conceded first in 8 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)
Unlucky
Avispa Fukuoka are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−9points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki score prediction
J-League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.5 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the J-League average is 2.9).
goals expected
Avispa Fukuoka1.4
V-Varen Nagasaki1.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki will be played on Saturday, November 7 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 14 of the J-League, played in Japan. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Avispa Fukuoka–
V-Varen Nagasaki–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Avispa Fukuoka–V-Varen Nagasaki–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
146%
X26%
228%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 58% | 42% |
| 38% | 62% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
134%
X46%
220%
1st Score
154%
X8%
238%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
X-X
18%
X-1
17%
2-2
14%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki: the stats that stand out
J-League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Avispa Fukuoka: always chasing and leaky
8/10Leaky
0/10Avispa Fukuoka kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 25%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki: attack vs defence
J-League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other J-League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Avispa Fukuoka: weak attack, good defence (1.25 xG, 1.31 xGA a game)
- V-Varen Nagasaki: weak attack, weak defence (1.30 xG, 1.59 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki form and luck check
J-League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 J-League gamesAvispa Fukuoka are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Avispa Fukuoka−9.2
- V-Varen Nagasaki−0.8
Last 5 matches
V-Varen NagasakiL
W
L
D
D
Avispa FukuokaL
L
L
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Avispa Fukuoka 15th of 20 · V-Varen Nagasaki 16th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
J-League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 J-League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Avispa Fukuoka games more often than the J-League average (55%), in V-Varen Nagasaki games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 56%
Avispa Fukuoka7 of 10
V-Varen Nagasaki5 of 10
BTTSleague 55%
Avispa Fukuoka7 of 10
V-Varen Nagasaki5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 150 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki corners, cards and goal times
J-League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.6
- Cards: league 1.4
- Goals before half-time: league 38%
- Goals after 75': league 26%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Avispa Fukuoka3/5
V-Varen Nagasaki2/5
Both Teams to Score
Avispa Fukuoka3/5
V-Varen Nagasaki3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Avispa Fukuoka2/5
V-Varen Nagasaki1/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Avispa Fukuoka4/5
V-Varen Nagasaki4/5
First Half Result
Avispa Fukuoka2/5
V-Varen Nagasaki2/5
Correct Score
Avispa Fukuoka0/5
V-Varen Nagasaki3/5
correct predictionwrong prediction