Brick wall
6/10Machida Zelvia kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 26%).
Machida Zelvia vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 15)
Brick wall
Machida Zelvia kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 26%).
6/10Clean sheets · Machida Zelvia
Bookmakers: Machida Zelvia 63% to winV-Varen Nagasaki 15%
Machida Zelvia vs V-Varen Nagasaki score prediction
J-League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Machida Zelvia expected to score more than twice as many as V-Varen Nagasaki
2.8 goals in total, a little under the J-League average of 2.9.
goals expected
Machida Zelvia1.9
V-Varen Nagasaki0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Machida Zelvia vs V-Varen Nagasaki: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Machida Zelvia vs V-Varen Nagasaki — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · J-League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Machida Zelvia to win
Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 1,795 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Machida Zelvia vs V-Varen Nagasaki — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Machida Zelvia vs V-Varen Nagasaki. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Machida Zelvia–
V-Varen Nagasaki–Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Machida Zelvia–V-Varen Nagasaki–Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
160%
X24%
216%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 82% | 49% | 51% |
| 51% | 49% | 83% | 17% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 91% | 9% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
143%
X42%
216%
1st Score
164%
X8%
228%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
37%
X-1
20%
X-X
15%
2-2
8%
X-2
6%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
14.6%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Machida Zelvia vs V-Varen Nagasaki: the stats that stand out
J-League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Machida Zelvia: brick wall and hard to break
6/10Hard to break
2/10Machida Zelvia conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Machida Zelvia vs V-Varen Nagasaki: attack vs defence
J-League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other J-League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Machida Zelvia: good attack, good defence (1.60 xG, 1.32 xGA a game)
- V-Varen Nagasaki: good attack, weak defence (1.40 xG, 1.55 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Machida Zelvia vs V-Varen Nagasaki form and luck check
J-League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 J-League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Machida ZelviaBookmakers: 63% to win today.+2.7
- V-Varen NagasakiBookmakers: 15% to win today.−1.1
Last 5 matches
Machida ZelviaD
D
D
W
W
V-Varen NagasakiD
L
L
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Machida Zelvia 4th of 20 · V-Varen Nagasaki 17th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Machida Zelvia vs V-Varen Nagasaki: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
J-League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 J-League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredMachida Zelvia and V-Varen Nagasaki games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the J-League average (56%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 56%
Machida Zelvia5 of 10
V-Varen Nagasaki4 of 10
BTTSleague 54%
Machida Zelvia4 of 10
V-Varen Nagasaki6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 160 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Machida Zelvia vs V-Varen Nagasaki corners, cards and goal times
J-League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.6
- Cards: league 1.5
- Goals before half-time: league 39%
- Goals after 75': league 25%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Machida Zelvia2/5
V-Varen Nagasaki2/5
Both Teams to Score
Machida Zelvia2/5
V-Varen Nagasaki2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Machida Zelvia1/5
V-Varen Nagasaki2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Machida Zelvia4/5
V-Varen Nagasaki4/5
First Half Result
Machida Zelvia3/5
V-Varen Nagasaki2/5
Correct Score
Machida Zelvia0/5
V-Varen Nagasaki2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction