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Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

J-League - Season 2025 (Round 2)

Fair result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima

1–0

Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
1.5Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances Sanfrecce Hiroshima would usually take 2.1 points and Yokohama F. Marinos 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima +0.9 pts vs chancesYokohama F. Marinos −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos stats: how the match was played

J-League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima had more than twice the shots on target

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Yokohama F. Marinos

3

Shots on target

1

2

Big chances

0

3

Corners

1

1

Yellow cards

2

41%

Possession

59%

The match between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Yokohama F. Marinos ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with 55% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Shimizu S-Pulse prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · J-League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 1,797 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 404 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 65.3%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 69%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 1,156 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 282 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 45%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Yokohama F. Marinos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yokohama F. Marinos 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,271 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
J-League - Japan
Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos0

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 66%

Correct Score

2-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 59%

Full Time

155%
X20%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT13%87%31%69%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT41%59%67%33%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima16%84%39%61%
Yokohama F. Marinos38%62%66%34%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima64%36%82%18%
Yokohama F. Marinos85%15%95%5%

1st Half

145%
X33%
222%

1st Score

160%
X3%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

36%

X-1

19%

2-2

12%

X-X

10%

1-X

6%

X-2

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

9.2%

1-1

8.3%

3-1

6.6%

2-2

6.5%

2-0

6.4%

1-0

6.3%

1-2

5.4%

3-2

4.7%

3-0

4.6%

0-1

3.9%

2-3

3.2%

1-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Shimizu S-Pulse prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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