Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-2 Score & Prediction Review
J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Tokyo Verdy0–2
Sanfrecce HiroshimaOn these chances Tokyo Verdy would usually take 0.9 points and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima stats: how the match was played
J-League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima had more than twice the shots on target
Tokyo Verdy
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3
Shots on target
6
1
Big chances
1
1
Corners
4
3
Yellow cards
1
33%
Possession
67%
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · J-League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,811 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,143 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,860 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,292 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Tokyo Verdy 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 391 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.1% of the time (bookmakers said 80.4%).
Our model’s pick
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,023 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Tokyo Verdy0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2Winner
2 59%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Tokyo Verdy0Sanfrecce Hiroshima2Winner
2 59%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49% | 51% | 80% | 20% |
| 18% | 82% | 47% | 53% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
42%
X-2
20%
X-X
12%
1-1
8%
X-1
6%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
12.9%
0-2
11.0%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
7.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Recent Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Tokyo Verdy have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Sanfrecce HiroshimaTokyo VerdyOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce HiroshimaBoth Teams to Score
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce HiroshimaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce HiroshimaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce HiroshimaFirst Half Result
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce HiroshimaCorrect Score
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima