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Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse

Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result

Mito Hollyhock

1–2

Shimizu S-Pulse

0.6Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Mito Hollyhock would usually take 1.0 points and Shimizu S-Pulse 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Shimizu S-Pulse.

Mito Hollyhock −1.0 pts vs chancesShimizu S-Pulse +1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse stats: how the match was played

J-League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Shimizu S-Pulse had more than twice the shots on target

Mito Hollyhock

Shimizu S-Pulse

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

60%

Possession

40%

The match between Mito Hollyhock and Shimizu S-Pulse ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Shimizu S-Pulse win with 40% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kyoto Sanga – Shimizu S-Pulse prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · J-League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shimizu S-Pulse to win

Correct

Our model 40%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 3,628 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,201 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 45%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 4,292 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Mito Hollyhock Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mito Hollyhock 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,697 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shimizu S-Pulse 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,674 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

J-League - Japan

Mito Hollyhock1

Shimizu S-Pulse2

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

· FT

J-League - Japan

Mito Hollyhock1

Shimizu S-Pulse2

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

133%

X27%

240%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%	63%	37%	86%	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	63%	37%	86%	14%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	33%	67%	67%	33%	88%	12%	96%	4%
	27%	73%	61%	39%	84%	16%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	33%	67%	67%	33%
	27%	73%	61%	39%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	88%	12%	96%	4%
	84%	16%	95%	5%

1st Half

123%

X45%

231%

1st Score

142%

X7%

251%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

24%

X-X

17%

1-1

16%

X-2

16%

X-1

11%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.5%

0-1

10.0%

1-0

8.9%

1-2

8.8%

2-1

7.8%

0-0

7.4%

0-2

6.9%

2-2

5.6%

2-0

5.3%

1-3

3.8%

0-3

3.3%

3-1

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse — Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. Mito Hollyhock have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Shimizu S-Pulse

Mito Hollyhock

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Shimizu S-Pulse

4/5

Mito Hollyhock

5/5

Both Teams to Score

Shimizu S-Pulse

4/5

Mito Hollyhock

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Shimizu S-Pulse

2/5

Mito Hollyhock

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Shimizu S-Pulse

2/5

Mito Hollyhock

5/5

First Half Result

Shimizu S-Pulse

2/5

Mito Hollyhock

4/5

Correct Score

Shimizu S-Pulse

0/5

Mito Hollyhock

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kyoto Sanga – Shimizu S-Pulse prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).