Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Kawasaki Frontale1–2
Nagoya GrampusOn these chances Kawasaki Frontale would usually take 0.9 points and Nagoya Grampus 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Kawasaki Frontale.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus stats: how the match was played
J-League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Nagoya Grampus had clearly more shots on target
Kawasaki Frontale
Nagoya Grampus
3
Shots on target
5
2
Big chances
3
4
Corners
6
1
Yellow cards
2
51%
Possession
49%
Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · J-League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Kawasaki Frontale to win
WrongOur track record
In 2,488 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,734 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,354 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,987 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Kawasaki Frontale ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,245 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Kawasaki Frontale 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,824 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Nagoya Grampus 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,393 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Kawasaki Frontale1
Nagoya Grampus2Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Kawasaki Frontale1Nagoya Grampus2Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 49% | 51% |
| 38% | 62% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
17%
X-X
15%
2-2
14%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
4.7%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus — Recent Form
Kawasaki Frontale have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Nagoya Grampus have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Kawasaki FrontaleNagoya GrampusOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Kawasaki FrontaleNagoya GrampusBoth Teams to Score
Kawasaki FrontaleNagoya GrampusOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Kawasaki FrontaleNagoya GrampusOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Kawasaki FrontaleNagoya GrampusFirst Half Result
Kawasaki FrontaleNagoya GrampusCorrect Score
Kawasaki FrontaleNagoya Grampus