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Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors

Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

K-League 1 - Season 2026 (Round 3)

Robbed

Jeonbuk Motors drew despite more chances

Gwangju

0–0

Jeonbuk Motors

0.5Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Gwangju would usually take 0.5 points and Jeonbuk Motors 2.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Jeonbuk Motors.

Gwangju +0.6 pts vs chancesJeonbuk Motors −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors stats: how the match was played

K-League 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Jeonbuk Motors had more than twice the shots on target

Gwangju

Jeonbuk Motors

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

42%

Possession

58%

The match between Gwangju and Jeonbuk Motors ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Jeonbuk Motors win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · K-League 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jeonbuk Motors to win

Wrong

Our model 39%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.3% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,526 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,110 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 81%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,719 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 48%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,294 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Gwangju Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gwangju 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 74%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Jeonbuk Motors Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jeonbuk Motors 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,317 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

K-League 1 - South Korea

Gwangju0

Jeonbuk Motors0

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

· FT

K-League 1 - South Korea

Gwangju0

Jeonbuk Motors0

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Full Time

130%

X31%

238%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	35%	65%	62%	38%	71%	29%	91%	9%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	35%	65%	62%	38%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	71%	29%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	38%	62%	73%	27%	92%	8%	98%	2%
	31%	69%	68%	33%	88%	12%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	38%	62%	73%	27%
	31%	69%	68%	33%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	92%	8%	98%	2%
	88%	12%	97%	3%

1st Half

125%

X48%

227%

1st Score

141%

X12%

248%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

22%

2-2

20%

1-1

16%

X-2

15%

X-1

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

14.2%

0-1

12.7%

0-0

11.8%

1-0

10.7%

1-2

8.0%

0-2

7.1%

2-1

6.9%

2-0

5.2%

2-2

4.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score