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PEC Zwolle vs TOP Oss 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
KNVB Beker - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
PEC Zwolle1–2
TOP OssOn these chances PEC Zwolle would usually take 1.8 points and TOP Oss 1.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: PEC Zwolle.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →PEC Zwolle vs TOP Oss stats: how the match was played
KNVB Beker
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
PEC Zwolle had clearly more shots on target
PEC Zwolle
TOP Oss
6
Shots on target
4
2
Big chances
3
8
Corners
6
0
Yellow cards
1
71%
Possession
29%
PEC Zwolle vs TOP Oss — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · KNVB Beker
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
PEC Zwolle to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,607 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 536 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,308 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,410 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: PEC Zwolle ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,272 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
PEC Zwolle 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: PEC Zwolle 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,019 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.8% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
TOP Oss 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,645 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
PEC Zwolle vs TOP Oss 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for PEC Zwolle vs TOP Oss. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
PEC Zwolle1
TOP Oss2Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
PEC Zwolle1TOP Oss2Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 57% | 43% |
| 30% | 70% | 60% | 40% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
2-2
18%
X-X
16%
X-2
15%
X-1
13%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.8%
0-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.5%
0-0
5.4%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
3-2
3.4%
3-0
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
PEC Zwolle vs TOP Oss — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
PEC ZwolleTOP OssBoth Teams to Score
PEC ZwolleTOP OssOver/Under 2.5 Goals
PEC ZwolleTOP OssOver/Under 3.5 Goals
PEC ZwolleTOP OssFirst Half Result
PEC ZwolleTOP OssCorrect Score
PEC ZwolleTOP Oss