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VVV-Venlo vs Vitesse Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
KNVB Beker - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
VVV-Venlo vs Vitesse — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · KNVB Beker
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
VVV-Venlo to win
Our track record
In 3,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 290 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,203 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
VVV-Venlo 2+ goals
Our track record
In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Vitesse 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,590 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
VVV-Venlo vs Vitesse — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for VVV-Venlo vs Vitesse. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
VVV-Venlo–
Vitesse–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 56%
VVV-Venlo–Vitesse–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 33% | 67% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 44% | 56% | 70% | 30% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23% | 77% | 50% | 50% |
 | 30% | 70% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 88% | 12% |
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
21%
X-1
13%
X-X
12%
X-2
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
7.0%
1-0
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
2-0
5.0%
0-1
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
0-0
3.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score