1. Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis

Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

KNVB Beker - Season 2026/2027 2nd Preliminary Round (Qualifying)

Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis stats: how the match was played

KNVB Beker

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Sportlust '46

Excelsior Maassluis

5

Shots on target

4

5

Corners

2

0

Yellow cards

0

The match between Sportlust '46 and Excelsior Maassluis ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Excelsior Maassluis win with 41% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Excelsior Maassluis – SC Heerenveen prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · KNVB Beker

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Excelsior Maassluis to win

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Sportlust '46 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sportlust '46 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Excelsior Maassluis Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Excelsior Maassluis 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Excelsior Maassluis 2+ goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Sportlust '46Sportlust '460
Excelsior MaassluisExcelsior Maassluis2

Winner

X2 63%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 50%

Full Time

137%
X22%
241%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%35%65%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT50%50%74%26%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sportlust '4628%72%56%44%
Excelsior Maassluis25%75%54%47%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sportlust '4679%21%92%8%
Excelsior Maassluis77%23%90%10%

1st Half

127%
X40%
233%

1st Score

146%
X4%
250%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

2-2

21%

X-1

15%

X-2

13%

X-X

12%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

1-2

3%

Correct Score

1-1

9.2%

2-1

8.7%

1-2

8.7%

2-2

6.3%

0-1

5.9%

1-0

5.8%

0-2

5.1%

2-0

4.5%

1-3

4.3%

3-1

4.3%

0-0

4.1%

0-3

3.9%

3-0

3.5%

2-3

3.4%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Excelsior MaassluisExcelsior Maassluis
1/2
Sportlust '46Sportlust '46
2/2

Both Teams to Score

Excelsior MaassluisExcelsior Maassluis
1/2
Sportlust '46Sportlust '46
1/2

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Excelsior MaassluisExcelsior Maassluis
0/2
Sportlust '46Sportlust '46
1/2

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Excelsior MaassluisExcelsior Maassluis
2/2
Sportlust '46Sportlust '46
1/2

First Half Result

Excelsior MaassluisExcelsior Maassluis
0/2
Sportlust '46Sportlust '46
1/2

Correct Score

Excelsior MaassluisExcelsior Maassluis
1/2
Sportlust '46Sportlust '46
0/2
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Excelsior Maassluis – SC Heerenveen prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

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