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Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis 0-2 Score & Prediction Review
KNVB Beker - Season 2026/2027 2nd Preliminary Round (Qualifying)
Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis stats: how the match was played
KNVB Beker
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Sportlust '46
Excelsior Maassluis
5
Shots on target
4
5
Corners
2
0
Yellow cards
0
Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · KNVB Beker
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Excelsior Maassluis to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Sportlust '46 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Excelsior Maassluis 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Excelsior Maassluis 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
X2 63%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Winner
X2 63%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 35% | 65% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 56% | 44% | |
| 25% | 75% | 54% | 47% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% | |
| 77% | 23% | 90% | 10% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
22%
2-2
21%
X-1
15%
X-2
13%
X-X
12%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
0-2
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
0-3
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score