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  4. Real Zaragoza vs Almería

Real Zaragoza vs Almería 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga 2 - Season 2025/2026 (Round 30)

Fair result
Real ZaragozaReal Zaragoza

2–0

AlmeríaAlmería
1.1Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Real Zaragoza would usually take 1.6 points and Almería 1.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Almería.

Real Zaragoza +1.4 pts vs chancesAlmería −1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Real Zaragoza vs Almería stats: how the match was played

La Liga 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Real Zaragoza had more than twice the shots on target

Real Zaragoza

Almería

4

Shots on target

1

2

Big chances

0

5

Corners

5

5

Yellow cards

4

38%

Possession

62%

The match between Real Zaragoza and Almería ended 2-0. Our AI model predicted an Almería win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: SD Eibar – Almería prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Real Zaragoza vs Almería — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Almería to win

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 3,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,143 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,354 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,682 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 4,292 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Real Zaragoza Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Zaragoza 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 74%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Almería Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Almería 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,674 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Real Zaragoza vs Almería 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Real Zaragoza vs Almería. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
La Liga 2 - Spain
Real ZaragozaReal Zaragoza2
AlmeríaAlmería0

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

127%
X28%
246%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT31%69%57%43%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT68%32%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Real Zaragoza39%61%74%26%
Almería26%74%60%40%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Real Zaragoza92%8%98%2%
Almería84%16%95%5%

1st Half

122%
X45%
233%

1st Score

135%
X9%
256%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

X-X

18%

X-2

17%

1-1

13%

X-1

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.8%

0-1

12.7%

1-2

9.2%

0-0

9.2%

1-0

9.0%

0-2

8.5%

2-1

6.4%

2-2

4.8%

2-0

4.6%

1-3

4.0%

0-3

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: SD Eibar – Almería prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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