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Almería vs Celta de Vigo II 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Fair result

Almería

2–0

Celta de Vigo II

2.1Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Almería would usually take 2.0 points and Celta de Vigo II 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Almería.

Almería +1.0 pts vs chancesCelta de Vigo II −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Almería vs Celta de Vigo II stats: how the match was played

La Liga 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Almería had more than twice the shots on target

Almería

Celta de Vigo II

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

52%

Possession

48%

The match between Almería and Celta de Vigo II ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Almería win with 57% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Almería – Leganés prediction & betting tips (Oct 11, 2026).

Almería vs Celta de Vigo II — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Almería to win

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,328 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,033 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,835 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Almería ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 6,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Almería Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Almería 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,726 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.2% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Celta de Vigo II Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celta de Vigo II 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 77%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 2,544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Almería vs Celta de Vigo II 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Almería vs Celta de Vigo II. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

La Liga 2 - Spain

Almería2

Celta de Vigo II0

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

· FT

La Liga 2 - Spain

Almería2

Celta de Vigo II0

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

157%

X24%

219%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%	60%	40%	82%	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	60%	40%	82%	18%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	17%	83%	46%	54%	74%	27%	90%	10%
	43%	57%	77%	23%	94%	6%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	17%	83%	46%	54%
	43%	57%	77%	23%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	74%	27%	90%	10%
	94%	6%	98%	2%

1st Half

143%

X41%

215%

1st Score

164%

X7%

230%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

20%

X-X

15%

2-2

1-X

X-2

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.2%

2-1

11.0%

1-0

11.0%

2-0

9.5%

0-0

6.6%

3-0

5.9%

3-1

5.7%

0-1

5.5%

1-2

5.4%

2-2

5.3%

3-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Almería vs Celta de Vigo II — Recent Form

Almería have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Celta de Vigo II have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Almería

Celta de Vigo II

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Almería

3/5

Celta de Vigo II

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Almería

1/5

Celta de Vigo II

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Almería

3/5

Celta de Vigo II

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Almería

4/5

Celta de Vigo II

3/5

First Half Result

Almería

3/5

Celta de Vigo II

2/5

Correct Score

Almería

0/5

Celta de Vigo II

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Almería – Leganés prediction & betting tips (Oct 11, 2026).