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Ceuta vs Sabadell

Ceuta vs Sabadell 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result

Ceuta

1–2

Sabadell

1.9Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Ceuta would usually take 1.8 points and Sabadell 1.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Sabadell.

Ceuta −1.8 pts vs chancesSabadell +2.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Ceuta vs Sabadell stats: how the match was played

La Liga 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Ceuta

Sabadell

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

68%

Possession

32%

The match between Ceuta and Sabadell ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Ceuta win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sabadell – Tenerife prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Ceuta vs Sabadell — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ceuta to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Sabadell to win.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 28%

Our track record

In 1,058 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 78%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 3,654 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 49%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 4,243 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Ceuta Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ceuta 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Sabadell Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sabadell 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 73%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,356 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Ceuta vs Sabadell 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ceuta vs Sabadell. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

La Liga 2 - Spain

Ceuta1

Sabadell2

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

· FT

La Liga 2 - Spain

Ceuta1

Sabadell2

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

144%

X28%

229%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%	68%	32%	89%	11%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	68%	32%	89%	11%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	27%	73%	62%	38%	85%	15%	95%	5%
	38%	62%	73%	27%	92%	8%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	27%	73%	62%	38%
	38%	62%	73%	27%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	85%	15%	95%	5%
	92%	8%	98%	2%

1st Half

132%

X49%

219%

1st Score

153%

X9%

238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-X

19%

X-1

17%

2-2

12%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

13.4%

1-0

12.1%

0-0

9.4%

0-1

9.3%

2-1

9.0%

2-0

8.1%

1-2

7.0%

0-2

4.9%

2-2

4.6%

3-1

3.8%

3-0

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Ceuta vs Sabadell — Recent Form

Sabadell have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Ceuta have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 21st in the table.

Last 5 matches

Sabadell

Ceuta

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sabadell

2/5

Ceuta

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Sabadell

2/5

Ceuta

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sabadell

3/5

Ceuta

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sabadell

4/5

Ceuta

4/5

First Half Result

Sabadell

4/5

Ceuta

4/5

Correct Score

Sabadell

1/5

Ceuta

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sabadell – Tenerife prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).