Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League One
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Plymouth Argyle to win
Our track record
In 3,434 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,607 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,244 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,896 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 2,173 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Plymouth Argyle 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.8% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
AFC Wimbledon 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,214 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 51% | 49% | |
| 36% | 64% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 91% | 9% | |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
X-1
16%
X-X
15%
2-2
13%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon — Recent Form
Plymouth Argyle have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. AFC Wimbledon have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score