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Notts County vs Oxford United

Notts County vs Oxford United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Notts County vs Oxford United: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Notts County vs Oxford United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League One

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Notts County to win

Our model 46%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 370 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.9% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 55%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 6,433 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,119 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 71%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 4,516 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 39%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 2,016 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Notts County Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Notts County 0–1 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Oxford United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Oxford United 0–1 goals

Our model 69%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,214 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Notts County vs Oxford United — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Notts County vs Oxford United. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

League One - England

Notts County–

Oxford United–

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS**

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

League One - England

Notts County–

Oxford United–

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS**

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

145%

X26%

229%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	24%	76%	48%	52%	61%	39%	83%	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	48%	52%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	61%	39%	83%	17%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	56%	44%	80%	20%	93%	7%
	35%	65%	69%	31%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	56%	44%
	35%	65%	69%	31%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	80%	20%	93%	7%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

1st Half

138%

X39%

223%

1st Score

154%

X7%

239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

16%

X-X

16%

2-2

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

12.2%

1-0

9.9%

2-1

9.5%

2-0

7.6%

0-1

7.5%

1-2

7.2%

0-0

6.7%

2-2

5.4%

3-1

4.7%

0-2

4.2%

3-0

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Notts County vs Oxford United — Recent Form

Oxford United have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Notts County have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Oxford United

Notts County

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Notts County

2/5

Oxford United

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Notts County

2/5

Oxford United

0/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Notts County

4/5

Oxford United

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Notts County

5/5

Oxford United

3/5

First Half Result

Notts County

3/5

Oxford United

3/5

Correct Score

Notts County

2/5

Oxford United

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction