Brick wall
4/9Rochdale kept 4 clean sheets in their last 9 (league 28%).
Tranmere Rovers vs Rochdale Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Riding their luck
Rochdale are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 9 with xG
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Rochdale 26% to winTranmere Rovers 48%
Tranmere Rovers vs Rochdale score prediction
League Two
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.5 goals in total, a little under the League Two average of 2.6.
goals expected
Tranmere Rovers1.3Rochdale1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Tranmere Rovers vs Rochdale: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Tranmere Rovers vs Rochdale — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League Two
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Rochdale to win
Our model 37%Bookmakers 26%
Our track record
In 1,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 56%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 5,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 2,766 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 70%Bookmakers 74%
Our track record
In 3,819 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 6,500 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Tranmere Rovers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Tranmere Rovers 0–1 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 3,372 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.1% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Rochdale Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Rochdale 0–1 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 2,605 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Tranmere Rovers vs Rochdale — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Tranmere Rovers vs Rochdale. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Tranmere Rovers–
Rochdale–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Tranmere Rovers–Rochdale–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
137%
X26%
237%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29% | 71% | 62% | 38% |
| 29% | 71% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
129%
X43%
228%
1st Score
145%
X7%
248%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
21%
1-1
19%
X-X
17%
X-2
16%
X-1
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.1%
0-1
9.0%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Tranmere Rovers vs Rochdale: the stats that stand out
League Two
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Rochdale: brick wall
4/9Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Tranmere Rovers vs Rochdale: attack vs defence
League Two
How to read it
other League Two teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Tranmere Rovers: weak attack, weak defence (1.18 xG, 1.58 xGA a game)
- Rochdale: weak attack, weak defence (0.86 xG, 1.64 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Tranmere Rovers vs Rochdale form and luck check
League Two
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League Two gamesRochdale are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Tranmere RoversBookmakers: 48% to win today.+1.1
- RochdaleBookmakers: 26% to win today. · 9 of 10 games+5.5
Last 5 matches
RochdaleW
W
W
D
L
Tranmere RoversL
D
D
L
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Tranmere Rovers 21st of 24 · Rochdale 17th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Tranmere Rovers vs Rochdale: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League Two
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent League Two gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Rochdale games less often than the League Two average (52%), in Tranmere Rovers games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Tranmere Rovers3 of 10
Rochdale5 of 9
BTTSleague 52%
Tranmere Rovers6 of 10
Rochdale3 of 9
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 528 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Tranmere Rovers vs Rochdale corners, cards and goal times
League Two
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameRochdale: last 9 with these statsGoal times close to the League Two average
Tranmere Rovers
Rochdale
3.4
Corners won · league 4.9
4.6
5.9
Corners conceded · league 4.9
5.4
2.3
Cards · league 1.9
2.0
2.2
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.8
23%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
50%
23%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
30%
31%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
45%
62%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
18%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Tranmere Rovers3/5
Rochdale2/5
Both Teams to Score
Tranmere Rovers2/5
Rochdale1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Tranmere Rovers2/5
Rochdale2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Tranmere Rovers4/5
Rochdale4/5
First Half Result
Tranmere Rovers3/5
Rochdale1/5
Correct Score
Tranmere Rovers1/5
Rochdale0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction