Shot-shy
5/9Exeter City failed to score in 5 of their last 9 (league 28%).
Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Bore draw alert
Fewer goals than usual expected in Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City
2.1goals expected · League Two average 2.6
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers: under 2.5 goals 56%
Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City score prediction
League Two
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Bore draw alertJust 2.1 goals expected
2.1 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the League Two average is 2.6).
goals expected
Shrewsbury Town1.1Exeter City1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League Two
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Shrewsbury Town to win
Our model 47%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 3,368 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 50%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 3,039 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 5,011 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 76%Bookmakers 77%
Our track record
In 3,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 6,500 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Shrewsbury Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Shrewsbury Town 0–1 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 3,340 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Exeter City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Exeter City 0–1 goals
Our model 74%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 3,261 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Shrewsbury Town–
Exeter City–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Shrewsbury Town–Exeter City–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
147%
X26%
227%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 58% | 42% |
| 39% | 61% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
133%
X44%
222%
1st Score
150%
X8%
241%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
X-X
17%
X-1
16%
2-2
15%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.4%
1-0
12.0%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City: the stats that stand out
League Two
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Exeter City: shot-shy and brick wall · Shrewsbury Town: always chasing
5/9Always chasing
7/10Shrewsbury Town conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Brick wall
4/9Exeter City kept 4 clean sheets in their last 9 (league 28%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City: attack vs defence
League Two
How to read it
other League Two teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Shrewsbury Town: weak attack, good defence (1.33 xG, 1.01 xGA a game)
- Exeter City: weak attack, good defence (1.27 xG, 1.29 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City form and luck check
League Two
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League Two gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Shrewsbury TownBookmakers: 42% to win today.Wasteful · −3 goals−3.6
- Exeter CityBookmakers: 29% to win today. · 9 of 10 gamesWasteful · −6 goals−2.5
Last 5 matches
Shrewsbury TownW
D
D
W
L
Exeter CityW
L
D
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Shrewsbury Town 20th of 24 · Exeter City 14th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League Two
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent League Two gamesBTTS = both teams scoredShrewsbury Town and Exeter City games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the League Two average (48%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Shrewsbury Town4 of 10
Exeter City1 of 9
BTTSleague 52%
Shrewsbury Town4 of 10
Exeter City2 of 9
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 528 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City corners, cards and goal times
League Two
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameExeter City: last 9 with these statsShrewsbury Town score early
Shrewsbury Town
Exeter City
5.3
Corners won · league 4.9
4.8
4.4
Corners conceded · league 4.9
4.4
2.9
Cards · league 1.9
1.7
1.2
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
2.0
67%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
40%
11%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
20%
47%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
33%
40%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
17%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Shrewsbury Town2/5
Exeter City3/5
Both Teams to Score
Shrewsbury Town2/5
Exeter City1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Shrewsbury Town3/5
Exeter City4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Shrewsbury Town4/5
Exeter City5/5
First Half Result
Shrewsbury Town2/5
Exeter City5/5
Correct Score
Shrewsbury Town1/5
Exeter City2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction