Shot-shy
5/9Exeter City failed to score in 5 of their last 9 (league 28%).
Colchester United vs Exeter City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Wasteful
Exeter City are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−6goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 9 with xG
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Colchester United vs Exeter City score prediction
League Two
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.3 goals in total, a little under the League Two average of 2.6.
goals expected
Colchester United1.3Exeter City1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Colchester United vs Exeter City will be played on Saturday, October 17 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 11 of the League Two, played in England. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Colchester United vs Exeter City, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Colchester United vs Exeter City — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Colchester United vs Exeter City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Colchester United–
Exeter City–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Colchester United–Exeter City–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
151%
X26%
223%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 56% | 44% |
| 43% | 57% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
137%
X42%
221%
1st Score
155%
X9%
236%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
17%
X-X
17%
2-2
13%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Colchester United vs Exeter City: the stats that stand out
League Two
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Exeter City: shot-shy · Colchester United: fast starters and leaky
5/9Fast starters
7/10Colchester United scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Leaky
1/10Colchester United kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 28%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Colchester United vs Exeter City: attack vs defence
League Two
How to read it
other League Two teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Colchester United: weak attack, weak defence (1.22 xG, 1.63 xGA a game)
- Exeter City: weak attack, good defence (1.27 xG, 1.29 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Colchester United vs Exeter City form and luck check
League Two
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League Two gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Colchester United+1.3
- Exeter City9 of 10 gamesWasteful · −6 goals−2.5
Last 5 matches
Exeter CityW
L
D
L
D
Colchester UnitedD
D
D
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Colchester United 8th of 24 · Exeter City 14th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Colchester United vs Exeter City: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League Two
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent League Two gamesBTTS = both teams scoredExeter City games go over 2.5 goals less often than the League Two average (48%), Colchester United games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Colchester United5 of 10
Exeter City1 of 9
BTTSleague 52%
Colchester United7 of 10
Exeter City2 of 9
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 528 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Colchester United vs Exeter City corners, cards and goal times
League Two
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameExeter City: last 9 with these statsGoal times close to the League Two average
Colchester United
Exeter City
3.8
Corners won · league 4.9
4.8
5.5
Corners conceded · league 4.9
4.4
1.2
Cards · league 1.9
1.7
2.6
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
2.0
50%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
40%
29%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
20%
36%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
33%
43%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
17%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Colchester United2/5
Exeter City3/5
Both Teams to Score
Colchester United4/5
Exeter City1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Colchester United2/5
Exeter City4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Colchester United3/5
Exeter City5/5
First Half Result
Colchester United2/5
Exeter City5/5
Correct Score
Colchester United2/5
Exeter City2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction