Always chasing
7/10Juárez conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Juárez vs Tijuana Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Unlucky
Juárez are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−4points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Juárez 34% to winTijuana 37%
Juárez vs Tijuana score prediction
Liga MX
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.9 goals in total, in line with the Liga MX average of 2.9.
goals expected
Juárez1.5
Tijuana1.4Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Juárez vs Tijuana: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Juárez vs Tijuana — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga MX
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Juárez to win
Our model 44%Bookmakers 34%
Our track record
In 1,023 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 5,541 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 5,063 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 3,866 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 6,562 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Juárez Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Juárez 0–1 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 3,385 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Tijuana Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Tijuana 0–1 goals
Our model 66%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 3,197 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Juárez vs Tijuana — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Juárez vs Tijuana. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Juárez–
Tijuana–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Juárez–Tijuana–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
144%
X26%
231%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 56% | 44% |
| 33% | 67% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
132%
X43%
224%
1st Score
154%
X6%
240%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
X-X
16%
2-2
16%
X-1
14%
X-2
13%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
4.5%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.0%
3-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Juárez vs Tijuana: the stats that stand out
Liga MX
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Juárez: always chasing and shot-shy · Tijuana: brick wall
7/10Shot-shy
4/10Juárez failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 24%).
Brick wall
4/10Tijuana kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 24%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Juárez vs Tijuana: attack vs defence
Liga MX
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Liga MX teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Juárez: weak attack, weak defence (1.13 xG, 2.03 xGA a game)
- Tijuana: good attack, good defence (1.74 xG, 1.65 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Juárez vs Tijuana form and luck check
Liga MX
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga MX gamesJuárez are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- JuárezBookmakers: 34% to win today.−4.3
- TijuanaBookmakers: 37% to win today.+1.0
Last 5 matches
TijuanaL
D
L
W
L
JuárezL
W
L
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Juárez 16th of 18 · Tijuana 8th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Juárez vs Tijuana: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Liga MX
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga MX gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Juárez and Tijuana games less often than the Liga MX average (59%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Juárez6 of 10
Tijuana5 of 10
BTTSleague 59%
Juárez5 of 10
Tijuana5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 318 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Juárez vs Tijuana corners, cards and goal times
Liga MX
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Liga MX average
Juárez
Tijuana
3.0
Corners won · league 4.9
3.7
7.3
Corners conceded · league 4.9
6.8
2.4
Cards · league 2.2
1.4
1.7
Opponents' cards · league 2.2
2.8
43%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
43%
29%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
29%
44%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
46%
32%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
23%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Juárez4/5
Tijuana2/5
Both Teams to Score
Juárez2/5
Tijuana3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Juárez4/5
Tijuana4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Juárez4/5
Tijuana2/5
First Half Result
Juárez5/5
Tijuana2/5
Correct Score
Juárez1/5
Tijuana0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction