Casa Pia vs Santa Clara Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga Portugal - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Portugal
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Santa Clara to win
Our track record
In 3,142 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 5,129 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 1,591 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 3,851 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.4%).
Our model’s pick
Casa Pia 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 377 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 81.2% of the time (bookmakers said 80.8%).
Our model’s pick
Santa Clara 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,401 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Casa Pia vs Santa Clara. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Casa Pia–
Santa Clara–Winner
X2 77%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Casa Pia–Santa Clara–Winner
X2 77%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 34% | 66% | 61% | 39% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 90% | 10% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 46% | 54% | 80% | 20% |
 | 26% | 74% | 60% | 40% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
30%
X-X
18%
X-2
18%
1-1
12%
X-1
8%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
10.8%
0-2
10.0%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara — Recent Form
Santa Clara have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Casa Pia have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Santa ClaraCasa PiaOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Santa ClaraCasa PiaBoth Teams to Score
Santa ClaraCasa PiaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Santa ClaraCasa PiaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Santa ClaraCasa PiaFirst Half Result
Santa ClaraCasa PiaCorrect Score
Santa ClaraCasa Pia