Marítimo vs Porto Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga Portugal - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Marítimo vs Porto — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Portugal
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Porto to win
Our track record
In 967 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.5% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 6,060 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,720 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,364 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).
Our model’s pick
Porto ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 6,236 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 45.1% of the time (bookmakers said 44.3%).
Our model’s pick
Marítimo 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 377 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 81.2% of the time (bookmakers said 80.8%).
Our model’s pick
Porto 2+ goals
Our track record
In 1,401 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Marítimo vs Porto — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Marítimo vs Porto. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Marítimo–
Porto–Winner
2 63%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Marítimo–Porto–Winner
2 63%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 52% | 48% | 83% | 17% |
 | 16% | 84% | 45% | 55% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
| 72% | 28% | 88% | 12% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
38%
X-2
19%
X-X
15%
1-1
8%
X-1
6%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
12.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
10.0%
0-0
7.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-2
4.0%
2-1
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Marítimo vs Porto — Recent Form
Porto have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Marítimo have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.
Last 5 matches
PortoMarítimoOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
PortoMarítimoBoth Teams to Score
PortoMarítimoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
PortoMarítimoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
PortoMarítimoFirst Half Result
PortoMarítimoCorrect Score
PortoMarítimo