Monaco vs Toulouse Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ligue 1 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Monaco vs Toulouse — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 1
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Monaco to win
Our track record
In 2,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 54.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,606 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,240 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,896 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 2,173 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Monaco 2+ goals
Our track record
In 2,773 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Toulouse 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,335 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Monaco vs Toulouse — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Monaco vs Toulouse. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Monaco–
Toulouse–Winner
1 51%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Monaco–Toulouse–Winner
1 51%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19% | 81% | 49% | 51% |
 | 38% | 62% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 90% | 10% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
X-1
18%
X-X
16%
2-2
12%
X-2
8%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Monaco vs Toulouse — Recent Form
Monaco have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Toulouse have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.
Last 5 matches
MonacoToulouseOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
ToulouseMonacoBoth Teams to Score
ToulouseMonacoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
ToulouseMonacoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
ToulouseMonacoFirst Half Result
ToulouseMonacoCorrect Score
ToulouseMonaco