Banker as favourites
6/6Rennes won 6 of 6 as favourites (league 52%).
Paris vs Rennes Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ligue 1 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Riding their luck
Rennes are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+4points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Rennes 32% to winParis 42%
Paris vs Rennes score prediction
Ligue 1
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.0 goals in total, a little over the Ligue 1 average of 2.8.
goals expected
Paris1.6Rennes1.4Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Paris vs Rennes: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Paris vs Rennes — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 1
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Paris to win
Our model 43%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 3,498 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 57%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 5,507 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 57%
Our track record
In 5,160 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 64%
Our track record
In 3,835 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 39%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 1,972 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Paris Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Paris 0–1 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 3,359 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Rennes Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Rennes 0–1 goals
Our model 65%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 2,614 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Paris vs Rennes — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Paris vs Rennes. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Paris–
Rennes–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Paris–Rennes–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
143%
X25%
233%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 56% | 44% |
| 32% | 68% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
132%
X39%
230%
1st Score
149%
X6%
245%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
2-2
20%
X-1
15%
X-X
14%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.4%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Paris vs Rennes: the stats that stand out
Ligue 1
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Rennes: banker as favourites and always on the scoresheet · Paris: hard to break
6/6Hard to break
2/10Paris conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Rennes failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 28%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Paris vs Rennes: attack vs defence
Ligue 1
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ligue 1 teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Paris: good attack, good defence (1.55 xG, 1.05 xGA a game)
- Rennes: good attack, weak defence (1.95 xG, 1.94 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Paris vs Rennes form and luck check
Ligue 1
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ligue 1 gamesRennes are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- ParisBookmakers: 42% to win today.+3.3
- RennesBookmakers: 32% to win today.+4.4
Last 5 matches
ParisW
D
W
W
D
RennesL
W
W
W
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Paris 8th of 18 · Rennes 7th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Paris vs Rennes: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ligue 1
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ligue 1 gamesBTTS = both teams scoredParis and Rennes games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Ligue 1 average (55%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Paris7 of 10
Rennes9 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Paris5 of 10
Rennes7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 288 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Paris vs Rennes corners, cards and goal times
Ligue 1
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Ligue 1 average
Paris
Rennes
3.9
Corners won · league 4.8
6.4
4.1
Corners conceded · league 4.8
5.9
2.1
Cards · league 1.9
1.7
1.3
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
2.0
39%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
50%
33%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
17%
38%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
50%
13%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
11%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Rennes4/5
Paris2/5
Both Teams to Score
Rennes3/5
Paris1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Rennes4/5
Paris3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Rennes2/5
Paris4/5
First Half Result
Rennes2/5
Paris2/5
Correct Score
Rennes0/5
Paris0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction