Always on the scoresheet
0/10Auxerre scored in all of their last 10 (league 28% fail to score).
Le Havre vs Auxerre Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ligue 1 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Riding their luck
Auxerre are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Auxerre 33% to winLe Havre 39%
Le Havre vs Auxerre score prediction
Ligue 1
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.5 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Ligue 1 average is 2.8).
goals expected
Le Havre1.4Auxerre1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Le Havre vs Auxerre: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Le Havre vs Auxerre — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 1
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Le Havre to win
Our model 42%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 50%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 3,067 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 792 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 77%Bookmakers 71%
Our track record
In 3,613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 45%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 6,516 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Le Havre Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Le Havre 0–1 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 3,384 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Auxerre Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Auxerre 0–1 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 3,276 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Le Havre vs Auxerre — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Le Havre vs Auxerre. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Le Havre–
Auxerre–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Le Havre–Auxerre–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
142%
X29%
229%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 62% | 38% |
| 37% | 63% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
130%
X45%
225%
1st Score
151%
X10%
239%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
X-X
19%
2-2
17%
X-1
14%
X-2
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
9.8%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Le Havre vs Auxerre: the stats that stand out
Ligue 1
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Auxerre: always on the scoresheet
0/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Le Havre vs Auxerre: attack vs defence
Ligue 1
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ligue 1 teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Le Havre: weak attack, weak defence (1.42 xG, 1.76 xGA a game)
- Auxerre: weak attack, weak defence (1.35 xG, 1.73 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Le Havre vs Auxerre form and luck check
Ligue 1
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ligue 1 gamesAuxerre are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Le HavreBookmakers: 39% to win today.−2.9
- AuxerreBookmakers: 33% to win today.Clinical · +5 goals+5.6
Last 5 matches
AuxerreW
W
L
L
L
Le HavreL
D
L
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Le Havre 17th of 18 · Auxerre 15th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Le Havre vs Auxerre: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ligue 1
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ligue 1 gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Le Havre and Auxerre games more often than the Ligue 1 average (53%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Le Havre3 of 10
Auxerre8 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Le Havre6 of 10
Auxerre8 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 288 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Le Havre vs Auxerre corners, cards and goal times
Ligue 1
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Ligue 1 average
Le Havre
Auxerre
4.6
Corners won · league 4.8
5.2
5.3
Corners conceded · league 4.8
6.2
2.4
Cards · league 1.9
1.9
1.5
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.7
42%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
44%
17%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
17%
43%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
37%
21%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
16%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Le Havre2/5
Auxerre4/5
Both Teams to Score
Le Havre2/5
Auxerre4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Le Havre1/5
Auxerre3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Le Havre4/5
Auxerre2/5
First Half Result
Le Havre2/5
Auxerre3/5
Correct Score
Le Havre0/5
Auxerre0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction