Fast starters
8/10Annecy scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 45%).
Annecy vs Montpellier Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ligue 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Riding their luck
Montpellier are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+7points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games. Annecy are also ahead of their chances: about +4 points.
Bookmakers: Montpellier 41% to winAnnecy 31%
Annecy vs Montpellier score prediction
Ligue 2
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.4 goals in total, a little under the Ligue 2 average of 2.6.
goals expected
Annecy1.2
Montpellier1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Annecy vs Montpellier: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Annecy vs Montpellier — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 2
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Montpellier to win
Our model 46%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 50%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 3,101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 2,848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 76%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 3,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 48%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 4,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Annecy Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Annecy 0–1 goals
Our model 74%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 1,589 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Montpellier Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Montpellier 0–1 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 1,590 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Annecy vs Montpellier — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Annecy vs Montpellier. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Annecy–
Montpellier–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Annecy–Montpellier–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
127%
X27%
246%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40% | 60% | 74% | 26% |
| 25% | 75% | 58% | 42% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
123%
X48%
229%
1st Score
141%
X9%
250%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
24%
X-X
19%
X-2
18%
1-1
14%
X-1
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Annecy vs Montpellier: the stats that stand out
Ligue 2
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Annecy: fast starters and always on the scoresheet · Montpellier: brick wall
8/10Brick wall
6/10Montpellier kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 28%).
Always on the scoresheet
0/10Annecy scored in all of their last 10 (league 28% fail to score).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Annecy vs Montpellier: attack vs defence
Ligue 2
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ligue 2 teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Annecy: weak attack, weak defence (1.19 xG, 1.48 xGA a game)
- Montpellier: good attack, weak defence (1.37 xG, 1.40 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Annecy vs Montpellier form and luck check
Ligue 2
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ligue 2 gamesBoth sides are winning more than their chances suggest
- AnnecyBookmakers: 31% to win today.+4.3
- MontpellierBookmakers: 41% to win today.+7.4
Last 5 matches
MontpellierW
W
W
D
W
AnnecyW
L
W
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Annecy 7th of 18 · Montpellier 3rd of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Annecy vs Montpellier: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ligue 2
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ligue 2 gamesBTTS = both teams scoredMontpellier games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Ligue 2 average (48%), Annecy games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Annecy6 of 10
Montpellier3 of 10
BTTSleague 55%
Annecy7 of 10
Montpellier4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 298 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Annecy vs Montpellier corners, cards and goal times
Ligue 2
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.6
- Cards: league 2.1
- Goals before half-time: league 45%
- Goals after 75': league 23%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Montpellier3/5
Annecy3/5
Both Teams to Score
Montpellier2/5
Annecy2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Montpellier4/5
Annecy2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Montpellier5/5
Annecy4/5
First Half Result
Montpellier5/5
Annecy0/5
Correct Score
Montpellier1/5
Annecy0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction