Home
Leagues
Ligue 2
Metz vs Boulogne

Metz vs Boulogne Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Ligue 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)

Leaky

Metz kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 28%).

0/10Clean sheets · Metz

Metz vs Boulogne score prediction

Ligue 2

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.6 goals in total, in line with the Ligue 2 average of 2.6.

goals expected

Metz1.4

Boulogne1.2

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →

The match Metz vs Boulogne will be played on Friday, November 20 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 13 of the Ligue 2, played in France. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Metz vs Boulogne, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

Metz vs Boulogne — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Metz vs Boulogne. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Ligue 2 - France

Metz–

Boulogne–

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Ligue 2 - France

Metz–

Boulogne–

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

148%

X26%

226%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%	61%	39%	84%	16%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	61%	39%	84%	16%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	22%	78%	54%	46%	79%	21%	92%	8%
	38%	62%	72%	28%	91%	9%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	22%	78%	54%	46%
	38%	62%	72%	28%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	79%	21%	92%	8%
	91%	9%	97%	3%

1st Half

136%

X45%

219%

1st Score

159%

X7%

234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-X

18%

X-1

17%

2-2

13%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.9%

1-0

10.3%

2-1

9.7%

2-0

8.0%

0-0

7.3%

0-1

7.1%

1-2

6.8%

2-2

5.3%

3-1

5.0%

3-0

4.5%

0-2

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Metz vs Boulogne: the stats that stand out

Ligue 2

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Metz: leaky and always on the scoresheet

Leaky

0/10

Metz kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 28%).

Always on the scoresheet

1/10

Metz failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 28%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Metz vs Boulogne: attack vs defence

Ligue 2

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Ligue 2 teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

Metz: good attack, weak defence (1.47 xG, 1.77 xGA a game)
Boulogne: weak attack, good defence (1.31 xG, 1.07 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Metz vs Boulogne form and luck check

Ligue 2

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ligue 2 games

Both results in line with their chances

Metz
+0.9
Boulogne
−2.6

Last 5 matches

Boulogne

12th in table

Metz

7th in table

Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Metz 8th of 18 · Boulogne 14th of 18

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Metz vs Boulogne: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Ligue 2

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ligue 2 gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Metz games more often than the Ligue 2 average (54%), in Boulogne games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 49%

Metz6 of 10

Boulogne2 of 10

BTTSleague 54%

Metz9 of 10

Boulogne5 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 295 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Metz vs Boulogne corners, cards and goal times

Ligue 2

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro

Corners won: league 4.7
Cards: league 2.1
Goals before half-time: league 45%
Goals after 75': league 23%

Corners and cards for every league: League stats →

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Boulogne

1/5

Metz

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Boulogne

4/5

Metz

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Boulogne

4/5

Metz

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Boulogne

5/5

Metz

1/5

First Half Result

Boulogne

1/5

Metz

0/5

Correct Score

Boulogne

0/5

Metz

1/5

correct predictionwrong prediction