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Boulogne vs Amiens SC 4-2 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 2 - Season 2025/2026 (Round 26)

Fair result
BoulogneBoulogne

4–2

Amiens SCAmiens SC
1.6Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Boulogne would usually take 1.5 points and Amiens SC 1.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Boulogne.

Boulogne +1.5 pts vs chancesAmiens SC −1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Boulogne vs Amiens SC stats: how the match was played

Ligue 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Boulogne

Amiens SC

6

Shots on target

6

4

Big chances

2

6

Corners

5

3

Yellow cards

2

0

Red cards

1

65%

Possession

35%

The match between Boulogne and Amiens SC ended 4-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Boulogne win with 38% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Boulogne – Reims prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

Boulogne vs Amiens SC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Boulogne to win

Correct
Our model 38%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.3% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 547 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 807 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,992 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 6,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Boulogne Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Boulogne 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Amiens SC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Amiens SC 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,678 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Boulogne vs Amiens SC 4-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Boulogne vs Amiens SC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ligue 2 - France
BoulogneBoulogne4
Amiens SCAmiens SC2

Winner

12 75%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

138%
X25%
236%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%45%55%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT56%44%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Boulogne28%72%60%40%
Amiens SC30%70%61%39%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Boulogne82%18%93%7%
Amiens SC83%17%93%7%

1st Half

128%
X44%
228%

1st Score

149%
X7%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

21%

2-2

20%

X-X

18%

X-1

14%

X-2

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.1%

1-0

8.5%

2-1

8.2%

0-1

8.0%

1-2

7.9%

0-0

6.5%

2-2

5.8%

2-0

5.7%

0-2

5.0%

3-1

3.9%

1-3

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Boulogne – Reims prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

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