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Nancy vs Le Mans 2-4 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 2 - Season 2025/2026 (Round 27)

Fair result
NancyNancy

2–4

Le MansLe Mans
0.9Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Nancy would usually take 1.2 points and Le Mans 1.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Le Mans.

Nancy −1.2 pts vs chancesLe Mans +1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Nancy vs Le Mans stats: how the match was played

Ligue 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Nancy

Le Mans

4

Shots on target

5

2

Big chances

3

4

Corners

7

1

Yellow cards

1

40%

Possession

60%

The match between Nancy and Le Mans ended 2-4. Our AI model correctly predicted an Le Mans win with 40% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Red Star – Nancy prediction & betting tips (Nov 2, 2026).

Nancy vs Le Mans — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Le Mans to win

Correct
Our model 40%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,098 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 77%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Nancy Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nancy 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 70%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,672 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Le Mans Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Le Mans 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Nancy vs Le Mans 2-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Nancy vs Le Mans. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ligue 2 - France
NancyNancy2
Le MansLe Mans4

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

132%
X28%
240%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT30%70%56%44%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Nancy35%65%70%30%
Le Mans29%71%64%36%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Nancy89%11%97%3%
Le Mans86%14%96%4%

1st Half

126%
X44%
230%

1st Score

142%
X9%
249%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

22%

1-1

18%

X-X

18%

X-2

14%

X-1

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.0%

0-1

11.3%

1-0

9.8%

0-0

9.1%

1-2

8.6%

2-1

7.4%

0-2

7.0%

2-0

5.5%

2-2

5.0%

1-3

3.5%

0-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Red Star – Nancy prediction & betting tips (Nov 2, 2026).

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