Reims vs Rodez 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
Ligue 2 - Season 2025/2026 (Round 27)
Reims1–2
RodezOn these chances Reims would usually take 1.3 points and Rodez 1.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Reims.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Reims vs Rodez stats: how the match was played
Ligue 2
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Reims had clearly more shots on target
Reims
Rodez
8
Shots on target
5
2
Big chances
2
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
67%
Possession
33%
Reims vs Rodez — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 2
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Reims to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,422 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,089 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,633 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Reims ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,154 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Reims 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Reims 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 981 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Rodez 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,559 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Reims vs Rodez 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Reims vs Rodez. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Reims1
Rodez2Winner
1X 77%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Reims1Rodez2Winner
1X 77%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 56% | 44% |
| 43% | 57% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
X-X
18%
X-1
16%
2-2
14%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score