Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Unlucky

Minnesota United are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

−8points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10

83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United score prediction

Major League Soccer

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Houston Dynamo expected to create clearly more

3.0 goals in total, a little under the Major League Soccer average of 3.3.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
The match Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United will be played on Sunday, October 25 as part of the 2026 season. This fixture will be played in the of the Major League Soccer, played in USA. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo–
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United–

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

143%
X25%
232%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%79%21%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Houston Dynamo23%77%53%47%
Minnesota United31%69%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Houston Dynamo78%22%92%8%
Minnesota United85%15%95%5%

1st Half

136%
X38%
226%

1st Score

154%
X5%
241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

16%

2-2

15%

X-X

13%

X-2

9%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

2-1

9.6%

1-0

8.2%

1-2

7.5%

0-1

6.7%

2-2

6.3%

2-0

6.3%

0-0

5.3%

3-1

4.8%

0-2

4.6%

3-0

3.4%

1-3

3.4%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United: the stats that stand out

Major League Soccer

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Minnesota United: always chasing, leaky and always on the scoresheet

Always chasing
Minnesota United9/10

Minnesota United conceded first in 9 of their last 10 (league 48%).

Leaky
Minnesota United0/10

Minnesota United kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 21%).

Always on the scoresheet
Minnesota United0/10

Minnesota United scored in all of their last 10 (league 21% fail to score).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United: attack vs defence

Major League Soccer

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Major League Soccer teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo: weak attack, good defence (1.42 xG, 1.30 xGA a game)
  • Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United: good attack, weak defence (1.75 xG, 1.75 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United form and luck check

Major League Soccer

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Major League Soccer games

Minnesota United are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

  • Houston Dynamo
    Houston DynamoWasteful · −7 goals
    −2.4
  • Minnesota United
    Minnesota United
    −8.2

Last 5 matches

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
D
L
D
L
W
5th in table
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United
D
L
L
L
L
14th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Houston Dynamo 10th of 30 · Minnesota United 18th of 30

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Major League Soccer

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Major League Soccer gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Minnesota United games more often than the Major League Soccer average (64%), in Houston Dynamo games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 65%
Houston Dynamo4 of 10
Minnesota United9 of 10
BTTSleague 64%
Houston Dynamo4 of 10
Minnesota United10 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 465 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United corners, cards and goal times

Major League Soccer

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the Major League Soccer average

Houston Dynamo

Minnesota United

4.4

Corners won · league 5.0

5.0

4.1

Corners conceded · league 5.0

5.0

1.7

Cards · league 2.1

2.0

2.7

Opponents' cards · league 2.1

1.5

44%

Goals before half-time · league 46%

36%

22%

Goals after 75' · league 24%

18%

40%

Conceded before half-time · league 46%

50%

40%

Conceded after 75' · league 24%

31%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
2/5
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United
2/5

Both Teams to Score

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
3/5
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United
5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
3/5
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
3/5
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United
1/5

First Half Result

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
2/5
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United
2/5

Correct Score

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
0/5
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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